Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 39 · v1

Severe Weather near Dover

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 14 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 15 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 56th strongest of the 250 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 10 June 2026. One more was recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued June 14 at 9:34PM EDT until June 14 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA

Urban PEI: 56,020 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 16 March 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.81/1
Coordinates39.0000, -75.7750
Nearest CityDover (28 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)56.0K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-06-15T01:34:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Watch_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2b7cf23a3997c96e0d55db4224a80ca8

Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-15T01:34:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-06-15T02:12:38.404Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
80
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Watch
UrgencyFuture
CertaintyPossible
AreaDescChesapeake Bay from Smith Point to Windmill Point VA; Chesapeake Bay from Windmill Point to New Point Comfort VA; Chesapeake Bay from New Point Comfort to Little Creek VA; Chesapeake Bay from Little Creek VA to Cape Henry VA including the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel; Coastal waters from Fenwick Island DE to Chincoteague VA out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Chincoteague to Parramore Island VA out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Parramore Island to Cape Charles Light VA out 20 NM; Coastal Waters from Cape Charles Light to Virginia-North Carolina border out 20 NM; Dorchester, MD; Somerset, MD; Wicomico, MD; Worcester, MD; Accomack, VA; Northampton, VA; Kent, DE; New Castle, DE; Sussex, DE; Caroline, MD; Kent, MD; Queen Anne's, MD; Talbot, MD; Atlantic, NJ; Burlington, NJ; Camden, NJ; Cape May, NJ; Cumberland, NJ; Gloucester, NJ; Hunterdon, NJ; Mercer, NJ; Morris, NJ; Salem, NJ; Somerset, NJ; Sussex, NJ; Warren, NJ; Berks, PA; Bucks, PA; Carbon, PA; Chester, PA; Delaware, PA; Lehigh, PA; Monroe, PA; Montgomery, PA; Northampton, PA; Philadelphia, PA and 1 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Watch issued June 14 at 9:34PM EDT until June 14 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Expires2026-06-14T23:00:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Wakefield VA
HasExactCoordsfalse
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2b7cf23a3997c96e0d55db4224a80ca8c263f80e.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2b7cf23a3997c96e0d55db4224a80ca8c263f80e.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c09759df81c114569acbeab2a69c7e7d290cb519.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c09759df81c114569acbeab2a69c7e7d290cb519.002.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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